"UNDERSTANDING HUMAN BEHAVIOR" On a FORENSIC level, Handwriting Analysis is used for, Assisting Criminologists & Law Enforcement agents in behavioral profiling involving crimes of violence.
Florida School Shooting Part Three (3)

Special interest Article;
Anthony J. Iantosca, BCFE

Saint Valentines Day Massacre
Florida School Shooting
Threat Assessment  
Part Three (3)
I stated in my first two profiles that many red flags were missed with this troubled teenager that should never have been overlooked. In this latest school shooting the threat was high. Why do I state this, the FBI four prong model when assessing threats such as this were never examined very closely. The four pronged model is as follows:
            Prong One:   Family dynamics
            Prong Two:   Personality of the student
            Prong Three: School dynamics and the students role in those dynamics
            Prong Four:   Social dynamics
In the four pronged model listed above this teenager rated very poor to unstable in all areas of his life.
The four types of threats are as follows: 
                     Direct - Indirect - Veiled - Contingent
At the time the FBI received the tip on this teenager they felt that his U-Tube video fell into the "indirect - veiled" type of threat because his video lacked detail, person, time, place that would be more in line with a "direct threat."
What was missed in profiling this teenager was the level of threat, there are three levels of a threat:
                                 Low - medium - high
In the high level of threat the person has access to firearms, has practiced with those firearms and the threat seems plausible. Also his own words on his U-Tube video should have alarmed law enforcement. There is a marked difference between " I want to be a professional school shooter" and his words " I going to be a professional school shooter." The words "going to be" shows more intent to carry out the threat. This was in my opinion a very "high level threat."    
Additional information on this teenager before his act of violence was he was stalking his ex girlfriend and she was one of the seventeen victims he killed. This alone should have warned law enforcement of the seriousness of his U-Tube video. Adding stalking to his other behavior patterns  elevated this threat into the "high level" category.  There are crossovers between the seven stalking personality types. I believe he had a combination of the two stalking types listed below.   

The Rejected stalker 

Rejected stalking arises in the context of the breakdown of a close relationship. Victims are usually former sexual intimates; however family members, close friends, or others with a very close relationship to the stalker can also become targets of Rejected stalking. The initial motivation of a Rejected stalker is either attempting to reconcile the relationship, or to exacting revenge for a perceived rejection. In many cases Rejected stalkers present as ambivalent about the victim and sometimes appear to want the relationship back, while at other times they are clearly angry and want revenge on the victim. In some cases of protracted stalking, the behavior is maintained because becomes a substitute for the past relationship as it allows the stalker to continue to feel close to the victim. In other cases the behavior is maintained because it allows the stalker to salvage their damage self-esteem and feel better about themselves.


The Resentful stalker
 Resentful stalking arises when the stalker feels as though they have been mistreated or that they are the victim of some form of injustice or humiliation. Victims are strangers or acquaintances who are seen to have mistreated the stalker. Resentful stalking can arise out of a severe mental illness when the perpetrator develops paranoid beliefs about the victim and uses stalking as a way of getting back at the victim. The initial motivation for stalking is the desire for revenge or to even the score and the stalking is maintained by the sense of power and control that the stalker derives from inducing fear in the victim. Often Resentful stalkers present themselves as a victim who is justified in using stalking to fight back against an oppressing person or organization.


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